Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:00
11.3073.8%
X5.9616.1%
29.4410.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LDLDWWWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Burnley
LLLDWLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
1.80
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.80
Against
7.40
10.00
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
3.70
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.90goals per match
Burnley conceded2.10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.40
10.00
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.60
Match total
4.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.40
Match total
21.20

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.20
On target
3.20
15%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.8%77.1%+3.3 pp
Draw16.1%16.7%+0.6 pp
Away10.2%6.3%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

2.560.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-014.6%
3-110.4%
2-110.4%
2-010.4%
3-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.083.17
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.539.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away27.3%