Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:00
12.2043.7%
X3.6126.6%
23.2329.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LWWDWLDLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Everton
WWWWLLDLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.90
Against
7.30
13.40
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.70goals per match
Everton conceded1.20
Matchup

Everton attack

0.90goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
7.30
13.40
Match total
11.40
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.90
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.00
Match total
22.10

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
6.00
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches424
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%43.4%-0.3 pp
Draw26.6%30.4%+3.8 pp
Away29.7%26.2%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

1.511.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
1-09.7%
2-19.2%
0-18.0%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.52
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=423.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches123
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%25.6%–42.1% CI
Draw FT43.1%34.7%–51.9% CI
Away FT23.6%16.9%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away43.1%