Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 12:30
11.8452.1%
X4.1623.1%
23.8724.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
WWWWWLLDDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
West Ham
LLWWLWDLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
3.80
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
2.50goals per matchWest Ham conceded2.20Matchup
West Ham attack
1.40goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.60
Match total
20.10
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.80
On target
3.80
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%64.9%+12.7 pp
Draw23.1%18.9%-4.1 pp
Away24.8%16.2%-8.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS62.2%
Historical average
2.00–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.5%
2-113.5%
1-113.5%
2-010.8%
1-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.70–4.35
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.0%
Over 9.562.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.3%
Away66.7%