Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 12:30
11.8452.1%
X4.1623.1%
23.8724.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWWWWLLDDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
West Ham
LLWWLWDLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
2.30
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
2.20
3.80
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.50goals per match
West Ham conceded2.20
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.40goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.60
Match total
20.10

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.80
On target
3.80
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches37
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%64.9%+12.7 pp
Draw23.1%18.9%-4.1 pp
Away24.8%16.2%-8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS62.2%

Historical average

2.000.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
2-113.5%
1-113.5%
2-010.8%
1-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.35
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.0%
Over 9.562.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Away FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away66.7%