Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 14:00
12.6536.2%
X3.7325.7%
22.5138.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LWDWWDDLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Aston Villa
DLWDWLDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.20
Against
4.70
7.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.60goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.90goals per match
West Ham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.70
7.70
Match total
11.40
20%2/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.80
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.30
Match total
22.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.60
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%38.4%+2.2 pp
Draw25.7%29.5%+3.8 pp
Away38.2%32.1%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.547.3%
BTTS68.8%

Historical average

1.781.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
2-210.7%
1-27.1%
3-16.3%
2-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.505.17
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.559.8%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.539.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away54.5%