Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 17:30
13.4028.1%
X3.9324.3%
22.0147.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
LWWWLWDWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Tottenham
DWWLDWLDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
2.10
0.90
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.30
Against
8.40
11.20
Total
13.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
2.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.10
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

2.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.60
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.10goals per match
Fulham conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
8.40
11.20
Match total
13.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
20.90
Match total
25.80

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.30
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches33
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%21.2%-6.9 pp
Draw24.3%33.3%+9.0 pp
Away47.6%45.5%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.7%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS69.7%

Historical average

1.421.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
2-29.1%
1-29.1%
0-06.1%
0-16.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.24
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=33.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.5%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Draw FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away57.1%