Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
12.8134.1%
X3.6326.4%
22.4239.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DWLLWLWLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Nott'm Forest
DLLLDWLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
2.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.90
2.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.90
Against
7.00
11.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.70
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.80goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.20
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.10goals per match
Luton conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.00
11.50
Match total
10.50
100%10/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.20
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.20
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches129
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%27.9%-6.2 pp
Draw26.4%37.2%+10.8 pp
Away39.6%34.9%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS63.6%

Historical average

1.251.44

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
2-210.9%
2-110.9%
1-210.1%
0-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.74
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=129.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%34.5%–65.5% CI
Away FT33.3%20.2%–49.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.9%
Away55.6%