Premier League · 2023/24
2024-03-13 · 19:30
11.5063.9%
X4.7720.1%
26.0016.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LLWWDWLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Luton
WDLLLWDDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
1.70
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
2.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.20
Against
7.10
13.20
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.70
Goals conceded
2.20
3.00
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded2.20
Matchup

Luton attack

1.60goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.10
13.20
Match total
11.50
100%10/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.70
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.40
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.10
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%66.7%+2.7 pp
Draw20.1%22.9%+2.8 pp
Away16.0%10.4%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.543.8%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

2.380.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
1-112.5%
3-010.4%
2-08.3%
4-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.793.46
Average total9.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.2%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.522.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away41.7%