Scottish Championship · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 19:45
14.1321.9%
X3.5625.4%
21.7252.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ayr
DLDWDLLDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
St Johnstone
LWDWDDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.50
Against
3.60
9.70
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
0.70
2.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ayr attack
0.80goals per matchSt Johnstone conceded0.70Matchup
St Johnstone attack
1.50goals per matchAyr conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.60
9.70
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
21.50
Match total
24.20
Shots
8.00N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
2.60
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches276
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.9%20.3%-1.6 pp
Draw25.4%24.3%-1.2 pp
Away52.6%55.4%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS54.0%
Historical average
1.08–1.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.0%
0-110.1%
0-29.4%
1-18.3%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.45–5.55
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=276.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.533.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%14.2%–31.7% CI
Draw FT37.3%27.7%–48.1% CI
Away FT41.0%31.0%–51.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals47.0%
3+ goals24.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.2%
Away60.2%