2026-05-01 · 19:45
14.1321.9%
X3.5625.4%
21.7252.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
DLDWDLLDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
St Johnstone
LWDWDDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.50
Against
3.60
9.70
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
0.70
2.10
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

0.80goals per match
St Johnstone conceded0.70
Matchup

St Johnstone attack

1.50goals per match
Ayr conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.60
9.70
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.90
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
21.50
Match total
24.20

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
2.60
On target
4.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches276
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.9%20.3%-1.6 pp
Draw25.4%24.3%-1.2 pp
Away52.6%55.4%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.081.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.0%
0-110.1%
0-29.4%
1-18.3%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.455.55
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=276.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%14.2%–31.7% CI
Draw FT37.3%27.7%–48.1% CI
Away FT41.0%31.0%–51.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals47.0%
3+ goals24.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.2%
Away60.2%