Scottish Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:45
14.1621.8%
X3.3427.2%
21.7851.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dunfermline
DWLLLDWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
St Johnstone
DLWDWDDWDW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
6.90N=10
4.20
Against
4.00
8.80
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dunfermline attack
1.80goals per matchSt Johnstone conceded0.90Matchup
St Johnstone attack
1.50goals per matchDunfermline conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.00
8.80
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.00
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.60
Match total
23.50
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
4.70
On target
4.40
19%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches238
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.8%23.9%+2.1 pp
Draw27.2%23.1%-4.1 pp
Away51.0%52.9%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS46.6%
Historical average
0.97–1.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.6%
0-112.6%
1-010.9%
1-110.1%
0-29.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.26–5.50
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=238.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.0%18.2%–38.1% CI
Draw FT32.4%22.9%–43.7% CI
Away FT40.5%30.1%–51.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.9%
Away50.0%