Scottish Championship · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00
12.3139.3%
X3.0929.4%
22.9131.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ayr
DDLDWDLLDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Arbroath
LDWWLWLDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
3.70
9.30
Total
8.30
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ayr attack
0.80goals per matchArbroath conceded1.00Matchup
Arbroath attack
1.00goals per matchAyr conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.70
9.30
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.00
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.80
Match total
25.40
Shots
7.70N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
2.30
On target
4.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,186
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%38.8%-0.6 pp
Draw29.4%32.5%+3.1 pp
Away31.2%28.7%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS48.7%
Historical average
1.24–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
1-011.9%
0-010.9%
0-19.4%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.09–4.41
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,186.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches428
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.6%23.6%–32.0% CI
Draw FT45.8%41.1%–50.5% CI
Away FT26.6%22.7%–31.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.4%
Away47.0%