2026-04-07 · 19:45
12.2041.3%
X3.1428.9%
23.0529.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
LDDLDWDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Dunfermline
WLWLDWWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.30
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.90
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.00
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

0.80goals per match
Dunfermline conceded1.40
Matchup

Dunfermline attack

1.50goals per match
Ayr conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.10
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.90
Match total
22.90

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
2.70
On target
2.20
9%
Conversion
22%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,404
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%41.9%+0.6 pp
Draw28.9%31.8%+2.9 pp
Away29.8%26.3%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.331.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-012.5%
0-010.0%
0-18.6%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.41
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,403.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches488
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.5%26.6%–34.8% CI
Draw FT43.4%39.1%–47.9% CI
Away FT26.0%22.3%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals12.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.6%
Away45.3%