2026-04-04 · 15:00
11.8449.4%
X3.3327.3%
23.8923.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dunfermline
WDWLLLDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Morton
LDWLLLDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.20
Against
6.80
8.40
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dunfermline attack

1.70goals per match
Morton conceded1.90
Matchup

Morton attack

1.20goals per match
Dunfermline conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.80
8.40
Match total
11.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.80
Match total
23.40

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
4.70
On target
2.80
19%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,068
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.4%47.5%-1.9 pp
Draw27.3%28.4%+1.1 pp
Away23.4%24.2%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.470.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
1-112.2%
2-19.6%
0-09.4%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.764.13
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,068.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches366
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.5%30.8%–40.5% CI
Draw FT39.1%34.2%–44.2% CI
Away FT25.4%21.2%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals13.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.4%
Away42.1%