2026-03-21 · 15:00
11.7751.2%
X3.3926.7%
24.1022.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
WWLDDLDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Morton
WLDWLLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
6.30
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.30goals per match
Morton conceded2.00
Matchup

Morton attack

1.30goals per match
Ayr conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.30
9.40
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.80
Match total
24.10

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
6.60N=10
3.60
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches717
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.2%50.8%-0.4 pp
Draw26.7%29.3%+2.6 pp
Away22.1%19.9%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.510.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
1-112.1%
0-09.8%
2-19.6%
2-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.744.13
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=717.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches240
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.9%32.0%–44.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%35.6%–48.0% CI
Away FT20.4%15.8%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away37.5%