2025-05-02 · 19:45
12.7533.6%
X3.0330.5%
22.5835.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
WWDWLWWDLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Dunfermline
LLWLDLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
10%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.80
Against
5.00
10.70
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
10%1/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.60goals per match
Dunfermline conceded1.50
Matchup

Dunfermline attack

0.50goals per match
Morton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.00
10.70
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
20.90
Match total
24.70

Shots

8.70N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.70
On target
2.90
18%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches311
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%31.8%-1.8 pp
Draw30.5%32.8%+2.3 pp
Away35.8%35.4%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.8%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

1.021.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
0-112.2%
0-012.2%
1-010.9%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.494.27
Average total8.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=311.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.549.5%
Over 9.540.8%
Over 10.527.3%
Over 11.518.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches128
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.2%27.4%–43.8% CI
Draw FT41.4%33.2%–50.1% CI
Away FT23.4%16.9%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals9.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.8%
Away38.3%