Scottish Championship · 2024/25
2025-04-18 · 19:45
11.8550.0%
X3.3827.4%
24.1022.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Livingston
WWLWWDWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ayr
DLWWWDWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
0.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
0.50
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.70
Against
4.80
11.30
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.40
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Livingston attack
1.50goals per matchAyr conceded1.10Matchup
Ayr attack
1.20goals per matchLivingston conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.80
11.30
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.50
Match total
21.90
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
4.20
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches802
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%49.1%-0.9 pp
Draw27.4%29.6%+2.2 pp
Away22.6%21.3%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.50–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-012.6%
2-110.5%
2-09.2%
0-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.79–3.98
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=802.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches259
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%30.3%–41.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%37.0%–48.9% CI
Away FT21.2%16.7%–26.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.1%
Away41.7%