2025-04-18 · 19:45
11.8550.0%
X3.3827.4%
24.1022.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Livingston
WWLWWDWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Ayr
DLWWWDWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
0.40
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
0.50
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.70
Against
4.80
11.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
0.40
Goals conceded
1.10
1.90
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Livingston attack

1.50goals per match
Ayr conceded1.10
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.20goals per match
Livingston conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.80
11.30
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.10
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.50
Match total
21.90

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
4.20
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches802
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%49.1%-0.9 pp
Draw27.4%29.6%+2.2 pp
Away22.6%21.3%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.500.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-012.6%
2-110.5%
2-09.2%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.793.98
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=802.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches259
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.9%30.3%–41.9% CI
Draw FT42.9%37.0%–48.9% CI
Away FT21.2%16.7%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals37.1%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away41.7%