2025-04-12 · 15:00
14.5420.4%
X3.5725.9%
21.7253.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
DWWDWLWWDL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Livingston
WDWLLWWDDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.30
Against
3.50
11.00
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.50goals per match
Livingston conceded1.20
Matchup

Livingston attack

1.50goals per match
Morton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.30
Corners against
3.50
11.00
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
20.60
Match total
23.80

Shots

7.90N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
19%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches119
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.4%21.8%+1.5 pp
Draw25.9%26.1%+0.2 pp
Away53.7%52.1%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS42.0%

Historical average

0.781.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
0-214.3%
0-110.9%
0-310.9%
0-09.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.895.60
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=119.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%18.1%–45.4% CI
Draw FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI
Away FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away47.5%