2025-04-11 · 19:45
13.5825.9%
X3.1629.4%
22.0844.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
WWWDWWLWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Falkirk
LWLDWWDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
7.50N=10
4.60
Against
3.20
10.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.20
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

2.30goals per match
Falkirk conceded1.20
Matchup

Falkirk attack

1.90goals per match
Ayr conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
7.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.20
10.20
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.50
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.70
Match total
22.70

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.50
On target
4.90
22%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches214
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.9%25.2%-0.7 pp
Draw29.4%31.8%+2.4 pp
Away44.7%43.0%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.516.4%
BTTS41.6%

Historical average

0.891.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.5%
0-014.0%
1-111.7%
1-09.3%
0-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.124.93
Average total9.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.1%
Over 9.543.0%
Over 10.533.2%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%8.2%–23.8% CI
Draw FT50.6%39.7%–61.5% CI
Away FT35.1%25.3%–46.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.0%
2+ goals29.9%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.6%
Away49.4%