Scottish Championship · 2024/25
2025-03-29 · 15:00
11.7353.6%
X3.5326.3%
24.6120.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ayr
LWWWDWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Dunfermline
LLLLWLDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
5.30
10.50
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ayr attack
2.10goals per matchDunfermline conceded1.50Matchup
Dunfermline attack
0.50goals per matchAyr conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.30
10.50
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.90
Match total
23.10
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.00
19%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches603
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%57.7%+4.1 pp
Draw26.3%23.7%-2.6 pp
Away20.1%18.6%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS47.4%
Historical average
1.69–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.8%
2-111.9%
1-110.9%
2-010.8%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.94–4.00
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=603.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.0%37.2%–51.1% CI
Draw FT38.3%31.8%–45.4% CI
Away FT17.6%12.9%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.1%
Away40.4%