2025-03-29 · 15:00
11.7353.6%
X3.5326.3%
24.6120.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
LWWWDWWLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Dunfermline
LLLLWLDLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.50
1.10
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
5.30
10.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

2.10goals per match
Dunfermline conceded1.50
Matchup

Dunfermline attack

0.50goals per match
Ayr conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.30
10.50
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.90
Match total
23.10

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.00
19%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches603
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%57.7%+4.1 pp
Draw26.3%23.7%-2.6 pp
Away20.1%18.6%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.690.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.8%
2-111.9%
1-110.9%
2-010.8%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.00
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=603.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches193
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT44.0%37.2%–51.1% CI
Draw FT38.3%31.8%–45.4% CI
Away FT17.6%12.9%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away40.4%