2025-03-22 · 15:00
11.6257.2%
X3.8524.1%
24.9318.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
WLWWWDWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Hamilton
LWLLLLWLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
2.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.00
Against
8.40
9.80
Total
13.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

2.10goals per match
Hamilton conceded2.00
Matchup

Hamilton attack

1.00goals per match
Ayr conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
8.40
9.80
Match total
13.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.80
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.80
Match total
19.10

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
5.00
On target
3.30
19%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches461
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.2%61.4%+4.2 pp
Draw24.1%21.0%-3.0 pp
Away18.8%17.6%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.830.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.4%
1-012.1%
2-010.0%
1-18.9%
3-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.003.90
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=461.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches134
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.0%47.5%–64.1% CI
Draw FT26.9%20.1%–34.9% CI
Away FT17.2%11.7%–24.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals16.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.2%
Away36.6%