2025-03-15 · 15:00
12.2840.5%
X3.2328.6%
22.9930.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamilton
LWLWWLLLWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Morton
DLLWDDWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.90
Against
8.30
11.00
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
3.20
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hamilton attack

1.40goals per match
Morton conceded2.10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.20goals per match
Hamilton conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
8.30
11.00
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.80
Match total
20.60

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
5.70N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%42.0%+1.5 pp
Draw28.6%31.7%+3.1 pp
Away30.9%26.3%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.311.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-012.2%
0-09.5%
2-19.4%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.47
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches408
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.6%28.2%–37.3% CI
Draw FT42.2%37.5%–47.0% CI
Away FT25.2%21.3%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.5%
Away45.1%