2024-05-03 · 19:45
12.1842.3%
X3.4526.7%
22.9731.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
DLWLLWLWDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Dunfermline
DDLDWDLWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.10N=10
6.20
Against
7.00
12.10
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.60
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

2.00goals per match
Dunfermline conceded1.20
Matchup

Dunfermline attack

1.20goals per match
Ayr conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.00
12.10
Match total
13.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
21.10
Match total
18.70

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.40
19%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches452
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.3%42.9%+0.7 pp
Draw26.7%26.8%+0.1 pp
Away31.0%30.3%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.511.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-010.6%
2-19.3%
1-27.7%
0-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.67
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=451.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.8%29.8%–46.5% CI
Draw FT38.6%30.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT23.6%17.1%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.6%
Away48.0%