2024-04-20 · 15:00
11.3170.2%
X4.9918.4%
28.0911.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dundee United
WLWLDWLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ayr
LLDLDWWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.40
Against
5.90
12.80
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dundee United attack

1.60goals per match
Ayr conceded1.90
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.30goals per match
Dundee United conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.90
12.80
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.70
Match total
2.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.30
Match total
20.20

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
6.50N=10
5.40
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches215
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%74.4%+4.2 pp
Draw18.4%17.2%-1.2 pp
Away11.4%8.4%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS46.0%

Historical average

2.340.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.6%
2-112.1%
2-011.6%
3-08.8%
1-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

7.013.40
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=215.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.8%39.0%–64.3% CI
Draw FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI
Away FT14.3%7.4%–25.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.1%
Away32.1%