Scottish Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 15:00
11.3170.2%
X4.9918.4%
28.0911.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dundee United
WLWLDWLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ayr
LLDLDWWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.40
Against
5.90
12.80
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dundee United attack
1.60goals per matchAyr conceded1.90Matchup
Ayr attack
1.30goals per matchDundee United conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.90
12.80
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.70
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.30
Match total
20.20
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
6.50N=10
5.40
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches215
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%74.4%+4.2 pp
Draw18.4%17.2%-1.2 pp
Away11.4%8.4%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS46.0%
Historical average
2.34–0.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.6%
2-112.1%
2-011.6%
3-08.8%
1-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
7.01–3.40
Average total10.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=215.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.534.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.8%39.0%–64.3% CI
Draw FT33.9%22.9%–47.0% CI
Away FT14.3%7.4%–25.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals16.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.1%
Away32.1%