2024-04-20 · 15:00
14.6819.7%
X4.0722.7%
21.6057.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arbroath
LLDLDDWLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Morton
WDDWWDDLLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.30
1.70
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.70
Against
4.90
10.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arbroath attack

1.00goals per match
Morton conceded0.90
Matchup

Morton attack

1.30goals per match
Arbroath conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.90
10.60
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.90
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
19.90
Match total
21.80

Shots

7.50N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
2.70
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches101
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.7%12.9%-6.8 pp
Draw22.7%19.8%-2.9 pp
Away57.6%67.3%+9.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

0.922.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.9%
0-211.9%
1-29.9%
1-18.9%
1-38.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.075.53
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=101.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.536.6%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.4%2.1%–23.4% CI
Draw FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI
Away FT70.4%51.5%–84.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.6%
Away85.2%