2024-04-13 · 15:00
11.4264.7%
X4.3920.9%
26.4114.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
WDLWLLWLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Arbroath
WDLLLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
3.00
70%
Over 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.10
Against
7.30
11.90
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
3.00
3.20
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.60goals per match
Arbroath conceded3.00
Matchup

Arbroath attack

0.80goals per match
Ayr conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.10
Corners against
7.30
11.90
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
20.10
Match total
20.90

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
5.20N=10
3.90
On target
2.90
16%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches162
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.7%74.1%+9.3 pp
Draw20.9%15.4%-5.5 pp
Away14.3%10.5%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

2.170.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.8%
1-013.0%
2-113.0%
3-110.5%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.833.33
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=162.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.6%46.1%–71.8% CI
Draw FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI
Away FT15.4%8.0%–27.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.1%
Away42.3%