2024-03-30 · 15:00
14.0822.6%
X3.5426.1%
21.8051.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arbroath
LLLLDLDDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Dunfermline
WWDDLDWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.40
Against
7.20
10.60
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arbroath attack

1.00goals per match
Dunfermline conceded1.00
Matchup

Dunfermline attack

1.20goals per match
Arbroath conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.20
10.60
Match total
13.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.90
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
21.30
Match total
17.90

Shots

8.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
2.40
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.6%20.3%-2.3 pp
Draw26.1%23.3%-2.8 pp
Away51.3%56.4%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.921.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.9%
1-112.4%
1-29.9%
1-08.9%
0-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.55
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI
Draw FT28.6%18.4%–41.5% CI
Away FT51.8%39.0%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.1%
Away67.9%