Scottish Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 15:00
14.0822.6%
X3.5426.1%
21.8051.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arbroath
LLLLDLDDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Dunfermline
WWDDLDWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
5.40
Against
7.20
10.60
Total
13.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arbroath attack
1.00goals per matchDunfermline conceded1.00Matchup
Dunfermline attack
1.20goals per matchArbroath conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.20
10.60
Match total
13.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.90
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
8.00N=10
21.30
Match total
17.90
Shots
8.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
2.40
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches202
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.6%20.3%-2.3 pp
Draw26.1%23.3%-2.8 pp
Away51.3%56.4%+5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.92–1.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.9%
1-112.4%
1-29.9%
1-08.9%
0-28.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.62–5.55
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=202.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI
Draw FT28.6%18.4%–41.5% CI
Away FT51.8%39.0%–64.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.1%
Away67.9%