Scottish Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 19:45
12.6135.4%
X3.1829.1%
22.6035.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ayr
LDWDLWLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Airdrie Utd
WLDLLWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
7.00
Against
5.30
12.00
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
0.80
3.20
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ayr attack
1.50goals per matchAirdrie Utd conceded0.80Matchup
Airdrie Utd attack
1.00goals per matchAyr conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
7.00
Corners against
5.30
12.00
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
19.10
Match total
20.30
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
15%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches887
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%32.2%-3.2 pp
Draw29.1%30.4%+1.4 pp
Away35.5%37.3%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
1.17–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.1%
0-111.5%
1-09.2%
2-18.8%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.01–4.85
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=886.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.528.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches293
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.3%23.5%–33.7% CI
Draw FT38.6%33.2%–44.3% CI
Away FT33.1%28.0%–38.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.1%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.1%
Away53.2%