2024-03-23 · 15:00
12.1043.9%
X3.3127.8%
23.2628.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
LLWWWDWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Dunfermline
LWWDDLDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.70
Against
7.40
9.40
Total
13.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.40goals per match
Dunfermline conceded1.10
Matchup

Dunfermline attack

1.10goals per match
Morton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.40
9.40
Match total
13.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
6.40
Match total
3.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
24.50
Match total
17.50

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches866
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%43.4%-0.5 pp
Draw27.8%30.4%+2.5 pp
Away28.3%26.2%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.421.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-011.1%
2-110.2%
0-18.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.33
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=865.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.2%30.8%–42.0% CI
Draw FT37.6%32.2%–43.5% CI
Away FT26.2%21.4%–31.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away45.9%