Scottish Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-23 · 15:00
12.1043.9%
X3.3127.8%
23.2628.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Morton
LLWWWDWWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Dunfermline
LWWDDLDWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.70
Against
7.40
9.40
Total
13.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.40
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Morton attack
1.40goals per matchDunfermline conceded1.10Matchup
Dunfermline attack
1.10goals per matchMorton conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.40
9.40
Match total
13.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.60N=10
For
1.50N=10
6.40
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
7.80N=10
24.50
Match total
17.50
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches866
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%43.4%-0.5 pp
Draw27.8%30.4%+2.5 pp
Away28.3%26.2%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS54.4%
Historical average
1.42–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.1%
1-011.1%
2-110.2%
0-18.7%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.30–4.33
Average total9.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=865.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.526.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.2%30.8%–42.0% CI
Draw FT37.6%32.2%–43.5% CI
Away FT26.2%21.4%–31.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals38.4%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away45.9%