2024-03-23 · 15:00
12.1542.9%
X3.4826.5%
23.0230.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
LLDWDLWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Queens Park
LDDLLWWWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.10
Against
4.40
11.30
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.50goals per match
Queens Park conceded1.60
Matchup

Queens Park attack

1.40goals per match
Ayr conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.40
11.30
Match total
8.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
18.90
Match total
21.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.30
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches499
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%42.5%-0.4 pp
Draw26.5%30.5%+3.9 pp
Away30.6%27.1%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.471.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-010.2%
2-19.0%
1-28.2%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.47
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=498.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches147
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.4%28.1%–43.4% CI
Draw FT42.2%34.5%–50.3% CI
Away FT22.4%16.5%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.8%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away42.2%