2023-04-29 · 15:00
12.2341.4%
X3.2928.1%
23.0330.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
WLWWWLDLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Queens Park
WWWDLLWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
2.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.40
Against
5.50
11.20
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.40goals per match
Queens Park conceded1.60
Matchup

Queens Park attack

2.10goals per match
Morton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.50
11.20
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
0.90N=10
5.00
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
25.40
Match total
19.50

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.60
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches589
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.4%42.3%+0.8 pp
Draw28.1%29.5%+1.5 pp
Away30.5%28.2%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.491.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
2-19.7%
0-09.3%
1-09.0%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.44
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=588.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%27.7%–41.5% CI
Draw FT44.4%37.3%–51.7% CI
Away FT21.3%16.0%–27.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away41.6%