2023-04-21 · 19:45
12.2042.0%
X3.3727.4%
23.0330.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
WDWLWDLLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Queens Park
LWWWDLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
2.50
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.20
Against
5.10
9.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.50goals per match
Queens Park conceded1.80
Matchup

Queens Park attack

2.10goals per match
Ayr conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.10
9.70
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
22.40
Match total
19.90

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
4.90
15%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches371
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.0%40.4%-1.6 pp
Draw27.4%29.4%+1.9 pp
Away30.5%30.2%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.471.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.6%
2-18.9%
2-08.6%
1-08.4%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.60
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=370.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%24.6%–42.7% CI
Draw FT43.0%33.7%–52.8% CI
Away FT24.0%16.7%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away40.0%