2023-04-08 · 15:00
12.0644.9%
X3.4426.9%
23.2728.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
DWDWLWDLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Morton
DDWDDLLDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.60
Against
6.00
10.20
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.60goals per match
Morton conceded1.30
Matchup

Morton attack

1.20goals per match
Ayr conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.00
10.20
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.60
Match total
21.50

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%47.1%+2.3 pp
Draw26.9%29.7%+2.8 pp
Away28.3%23.2%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.641.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-011.7%
2-08.3%
2-18.1%
2-26.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.534.26
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%33.1%–51.5% CI
Draw FT35.5%27.1%–44.9% CI
Away FT22.4%15.6%–31.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away47.7%