Scottish Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-31 · 19:45
12.9131.7%
X3.2328.6%
22.3339.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arbroath
LWLDDLLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Ayr
WWDLWLDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
9.90
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arbroath attack
0.70goals per matchAyr conceded1.30Matchup
Ayr attack
2.00goals per matchArbroath conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
9.90
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
22.10
Match total
16.90
Shots
8.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
2.60
On target
4.80
9%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches413
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%29.1%-2.7 pp
Draw28.6%22.5%-6.1 pp
Away39.7%48.4%+8.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.05–1.45
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.6%
1-111.1%
1-010.7%
1-210.2%
0-28.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.83–5.16
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=413.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches138
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.2%24.0%–39.3% CI
Draw FT31.9%24.7%–40.1% CI
Away FT37.0%29.4%–45.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals11.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away50.7%