2023-03-31 · 19:45
12.9131.7%
X3.2328.6%
22.3339.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arbroath
LWLDDLLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Ayr
WWDLWLDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
2.00
1.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
9.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arbroath attack

0.70goals per match
Ayr conceded1.30
Matchup

Ayr attack

2.00goals per match
Arbroath conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
9.90
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.00
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
22.10
Match total
16.90

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
2.60
On target
4.80
9%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches413
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%29.1%-2.7 pp
Draw28.6%22.5%-6.1 pp
Away39.7%48.4%+8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.051.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.6%
1-111.1%
1-010.7%
1-210.2%
0-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.835.16
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=413.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches138
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.2%24.0%–39.3% CI
Draw FT31.9%24.7%–40.1% CI
Away FT37.0%29.4%–45.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals11.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away50.7%