2023-03-21 · 19:45
11.8151.1%
X3.6825.1%
23.8823.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dundee
LWDWWLWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ayr
LWWDLWLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.30
Against
5.20
13.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Dundee attack

1.70goals per match
Ayr conceded1.20
Matchup

Ayr attack

2.00goals per match
Dundee conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.20
13.50
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
20.50
Match total
15.10

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.70
On target
4.90
18%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches241
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%46.1%-5.0 pp
Draw25.1%29.5%+4.3 pp
Away23.8%24.5%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

1.661.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
2-18.7%
1-08.3%
0-07.1%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.26
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.6%28.0%–50.3% CI
Draw FT45.7%34.6%–57.3% CI
Away FT15.7%9.0%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.3%
Away42.9%