Scottish Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-21 · 19:45
11.8151.1%
X3.6825.1%
23.8823.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dundee
LWDWWLWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Ayr
LWWDLWLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.30
Against
5.20
13.50
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dundee attack
1.70goals per matchAyr conceded1.20Matchup
Ayr attack
2.00goals per matchDundee conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.20
13.50
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
8.20N=10
20.50
Match total
15.10
Shots
9.40N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.70
On target
4.90
18%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches241
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.1%46.1%-5.0 pp
Draw25.1%29.5%+4.3 pp
Away23.8%24.5%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS57.7%
Historical average
1.66–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
2-18.7%
1-08.3%
0-07.1%
1-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.88–4.26
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.8%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.533.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches70
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.6%28.0%–50.3% CI
Draw FT45.7%34.6%–57.3% CI
Away FT15.7%9.0%–26.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.3%
Away42.9%