2023-03-18 · 15:00
13.2628.2%
X3.4027.1%
22.0644.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hamilton
LLDLLWDWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Ayr
LLWWDLWLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.00
1.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.20
Against
5.00
11.60
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hamilton attack

1.20goals per match
Ayr conceded1.50
Matchup

Ayr attack

2.00goals per match
Hamilton conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.00
11.60
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
23.00
Match total
15.50

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches255
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%24.7%-3.5 pp
Draw27.1%28.6%+1.6 pp
Away44.7%46.7%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS59.6%

Historical average

1.161.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-210.2%
0-29.0%
0-07.1%
0-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.674.84
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=255.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.1%7.8%–24.0% CI
Draw FT45.1%34.0%–56.6% CI
Away FT40.8%30.2%–52.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals59.2%
3+ goals23.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.7%
Away67.6%