Scottish Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
13.2628.2%
X3.4027.1%
22.0644.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hamilton
LLDLLWDWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Ayr
LLWWDLWLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
2.00
1.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.20
Against
5.00
11.60
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.00
1.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hamilton attack
1.20goals per matchAyr conceded1.50Matchup
Ayr attack
2.00goals per matchHamilton conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.00
11.60
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
23.00
Match total
15.50
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.50
On target
4.90
13%
Conversion
21%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches255
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%24.7%-3.5 pp
Draw27.1%28.6%+1.6 pp
Away44.7%46.7%+2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS59.6%
Historical average
1.16–1.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.1%
1-210.2%
0-29.0%
0-07.1%
0-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.67–4.84
Average total9.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=255.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.1%7.8%–24.0% CI
Draw FT45.1%34.0%–56.6% CI
Away FT40.8%30.2%–52.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.6%
2+ goals59.2%
3+ goals23.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home43.7%
Away67.6%