2023-03-17 · 19:45
12.5835.8%
X2.9731.1%
22.7933.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arbroath
DLWLDDLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Morton
WDDWDDLLDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.50
Against
6.00
9.80
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Arbroath attack

0.70goals per match
Morton conceded1.30
Matchup

Morton attack

1.30goals per match
Arbroath conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.00
9.80
Match total
12.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
20.80
Match total
21.20

Shots

7.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.50
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches556
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%33.8%-2.0 pp
Draw31.1%36.2%+5.1 pp
Away33.1%30.0%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.081.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
0-013.7%
1-013.5%
0-110.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.904.39
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=556.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%24.8%–37.2% CI
Draw FT46.2%39.6%–52.9% CI
Away FT23.1%17.9%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals29.7%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.2%
Away37.7%