Scottish Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 19:45
12.5835.8%
X2.9731.1%
22.7933.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arbroath
DLWLDDLLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Morton
WDDWDDLLDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.50
Against
6.00
9.80
Total
12.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arbroath attack
0.70goals per matchMorton conceded1.30Matchup
Morton attack
1.30goals per matchArbroath conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.00
9.80
Match total
12.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
20.80
Match total
21.20
Shots
7.90N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.50
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches556
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%33.8%-2.0 pp
Draw31.1%36.2%+5.1 pp
Away33.1%30.0%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS47.7%
Historical average
1.08–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.3%
0-013.7%
1-013.5%
0-110.3%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.90–4.39
Average total9.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=556.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.7%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.534.4%
Over 11.524.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.7%24.8%–37.2% CI
Draw FT46.2%39.6%–52.9% CI
Away FT23.1%17.9%–29.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals29.7%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.2%
Away37.7%