2023-03-04 · 15:00
12.1044.0%
X3.5725.9%
23.0730.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Queens Park
WWLDDWWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Morton
LWDDWDDLLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
6.20N=10
5.20
Against
5.80
12.80
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Queens Park attack

1.80goals per match
Morton conceded1.60
Matchup

Morton attack

1.20goals per match
Queens Park conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.80
12.80
Match total
12.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.00
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

7.80N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
16.20
Match total
21.40

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.20
On target
3.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches246
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%43.9%-0.1 pp
Draw25.9%30.1%+4.2 pp
Away30.1%26.0%-4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.491.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-011.4%
0-010.2%
2-08.1%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.444.43
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=245.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%28.4%–49.6% CI
Draw FT44.9%34.3%–55.9% CI
Away FT16.7%10.0%–26.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.3%
Away37.2%