Scottish Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-03 · 19:45
13.1429.4%
X3.2028.9%
22.2241.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hamilton
LLLDLLWDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Arbroath
WLDDLDWDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.90
Against
4.90
12.40
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hamilton attack
1.20goals per matchArbroath conceded1.50Matchup
Arbroath attack
1.40goals per matchHamilton conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.90
12.40
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
22.30
Match total
19.60
Shots
9.60N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.70
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches465
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.4%26.2%-3.2 pp
Draw28.9%27.7%-1.2 pp
Away41.7%46.0%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.00–1.43
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
0-111.8%
1-011.2%
1-210.3%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.54–5.07
Average total9.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=465.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.526.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.3%17.3%–30.7% CI
Draw FT42.0%34.4%–50.0% CI
Away FT34.7%27.5%–42.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals14.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.3%
Away55.3%