2022-04-29 · 19:45
12.3339.9%
X3.2628.5%
22.9431.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
LDWWLDLLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Partick
WDDDDDLLLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
0.80
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.30
Against
5.00
10.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

0.90goals per match
Partick conceded1.40
Matchup

Partick attack

1.40goals per match
Ayr conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
0%0/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.00
10.80
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
21.30
Match total
21.60

Shots

8.70N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.00
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches556
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%41.7%+1.8 pp
Draw28.5%28.6%+0.1 pp
Away31.6%29.7%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.321.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
1-011.2%
2-19.5%
0-09.4%
0-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.204.71
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=556.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches200
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.5%24.5%–37.2% CI
Draw FT39.0%32.5%–45.9% CI
Away FT30.5%24.5%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.0%
Away50.0%