2022-04-16 · 15:00
12.4138.4%
X3.1229.7%
22.9031.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
LDLWDWDWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Hamilton
LDWWLDDLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
1.60
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.40
Against
5.10
9.80
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.60goals per match
Hamilton conceded0.90
Matchup

Hamilton attack

1.30goals per match
Morton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.10
9.80
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
1.80
Match total
3.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
22.00
Match total
22.70

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches386
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%37.0%-1.4 pp
Draw29.7%32.9%+3.2 pp
Away31.9%30.1%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS47.9%

Historical average

1.131.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-013.0%
1-012.2%
0-110.4%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.244.52
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=386.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches152
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.6%22.9%–37.3% CI
Draw FT47.4%39.6%–55.3% CI
Away FT23.0%17.0%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.1%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.0%
Away42.1%