2022-04-01 · 19:45
14.5320.5%
X3.2029.0%
21.8450.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
DLDLWDWDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Kilmarnock
WWLLWWDLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
3.70
9.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
0.70
3.20
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.60goals per match
Kilmarnock conceded0.70
Matchup

Kilmarnock attack

1.20goals per match
Morton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.70
9.50
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.20N=10
2.10
Match total
2.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
22.60
Match total
24.40

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.00
On target
4.70
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%23.8%+3.3 pp
Draw29.0%47.6%+18.6 pp
Away50.5%28.6%-21.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS61.9%

Historical average

1.101.43

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
0-014.3%
2-114.3%
2-214.3%
1-29.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.484.38
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.4%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.523.8%
Over 11.514.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.13

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away60.0%