2022-04-01 · 19:45
12.7034.5%
X2.9831.3%
22.7234.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
LDLDWWLDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Hamilton
DLDWWLDDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
0.70
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.00N=10
4.80
Against
4.80
9.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.30
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

0.80goals per match
Hamilton conceded0.90
Matchup

Hamilton attack

1.30goals per match
Ayr conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.80
9.90
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.90
Match total
24.30

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
2.50
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches302
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%33.1%-1.4 pp
Draw31.3%34.1%+2.8 pp
Away34.2%32.8%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.515.6%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.021.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-013.9%
1-012.3%
0-111.6%
2-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.48
Average total9.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=302.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.9%22.6%–38.4% CI
Draw FT44.9%36.5%–53.6% CI
Away FT25.2%18.5%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals28.3%
3+ goals7.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.2%
Away39.4%