2022-03-26 · 15:00
12.3040.3%
X3.0930.0%
23.1329.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
DDLDLWDWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Ayr
LLDLDLWWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.10
Against
6.60
9.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.00
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.50goals per match
Ayr conceded1.50
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.20goals per match
Morton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.60
9.10
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.20
Match total
3.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.30
Match total
20.00

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.90
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches526
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.3%40.9%+0.5 pp
Draw30.0%31.6%+1.5 pp
Away29.6%27.6%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.519.2%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.251.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-011.4%
0-010.8%
0-19.1%
2-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.41
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=526.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches186
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.7%25.5%–38.7% CI
Draw FT45.2%38.2%–52.3% CI
Away FT23.1%17.6%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals13.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away42.5%