2022-03-19 · 15:00
11.7154.1%
X3.6225.5%
24.5320.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arbroath
DWDDWDWDDW
4W 6D 0L · 1.80 PPM
Ayr
DLLDLDLWWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Against
6.90
10.80
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arbroath attack

1.30goals per match
Ayr conceded1.50
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.30goals per match
Arbroath conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.90
10.80
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
23.20
Match total
19.60

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.90
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches271
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.1%59.8%+5.7 pp
Draw25.5%24.0%-1.6 pp
Away20.4%16.2%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS45.0%

Historical average

1.700.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.7%
2-013.7%
2-111.8%
0-010.3%
1-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.034.14
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=271.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%36.5%–56.3% CI
Draw FT40.9%31.4%–51.0% CI
Away FT12.9%7.5%–21.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.1%
Away32.3%