2022-03-11 · 19:45
13.5126.5%
X3.1129.9%
22.1343.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ayr
WLDLDWWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Kilmarnock
DWWLLWWDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.60
Against
3.90
10.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Ayr attack

0.90goals per match
Kilmarnock conceded0.80
Matchup

Kilmarnock attack

1.10goals per match
Ayr conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.90
10.00
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.40
Match total
23.70

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
2.90
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.5%30.3%+3.8 pp
Draw29.9%32.3%+2.4 pp
Away43.6%37.4%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS44.4%

Historical average

1.051.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-013.1%
0-113.1%
1-012.1%
1-110.1%
2-29.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.584.84
Average total8.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.547.5%
Over 9.537.4%
Over 10.523.2%
Over 11.514.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI
Draw FT56.7%39.2%–72.6% CI
Away FT23.3%11.8%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

0.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.7%
2+ goals23.3%
3+ goals3.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away36.7%