Scottish Championship · 2021/22
2022-03-11 · 19:45
13.5126.5%
X3.1129.9%
22.1343.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Ayr
WLDLDWWLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Kilmarnock
DWWLLWWDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.60
Against
3.90
10.00
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.20
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Ayr attack
0.90goals per matchKilmarnock conceded0.80Matchup
Kilmarnock attack
1.10goals per matchAyr conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.90
10.00
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.50
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.40
Match total
23.70
Shots
8.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
2.90
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches99
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.5%30.3%+3.8 pp
Draw29.9%32.3%+2.4 pp
Away43.6%37.4%-6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS44.4%
Historical average
1.05–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-013.1%
0-113.1%
1-012.1%
1-110.1%
2-29.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.58–4.84
Average total8.41
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=99.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.547.5%
Over 9.537.4%
Over 10.523.2%
Over 11.514.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches30
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%9.5%–37.3% CI
Draw FT56.7%39.2%–72.6% CI
Away FT23.3%11.8%–40.9% CI
Remaining goals
0.87
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal56.7%
2+ goals23.3%
3+ goals3.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away36.7%