2021-04-30 · 19:45
14.1022.7%
X3.6525.4%
21.7951.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Alloa
WLDLWDDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Dunfermline
DDDDLLLLLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.60N=10
7.50
Against
6.00
11.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.90
3.30
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Alloa attack

1.30goals per match
Dunfermline conceded1.90
Matchup

Dunfermline attack

1.00goals per match
Alloa conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
7.50
Corners against
6.00
11.90
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
3.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.70
Match total
22.90

Shots

9.20N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.7%25.0%+2.3 pp
Draw25.4%19.2%-6.2 pp
Away51.9%55.8%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS69.2%

Historical average

1.251.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.3%
1-111.5%
2-39.6%
0-37.7%
2-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.62
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Draw FT35.7%16.3%–61.2% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away64.3%