2021-04-24 · 15:00
11.7552.9%
X3.6725.2%
24.2521.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
WDDLLDLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Alloa
LWLLLDLWLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
2.70
40%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.20
Against
5.50
10.00
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
2.70
2.20
Total goals
3.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Morton attack

0.90goals per match
Alloa conceded2.70
Matchup

Alloa attack

1.10goals per match
Morton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
5.50
10.00
Match total
8.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.40
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.30
Match total
25.90

Shots

8.00N=10
Shots
6.20N=10
3.30
On target
3.30
11%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.9%58.3%+5.3 pp
Draw25.2%22.6%-2.6 pp
Away21.8%19.1%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS45.2%

Historical average

1.630.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.9%
0-012.2%
2-112.2%
2-010.4%
1-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.214.26
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.551.3%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Draw FT45.2%31.2%–60.1% CI
Away FT16.7%8.3%–30.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away31.0%