2021-04-20 · 19:05
16.4414.4%
X4.5020.6%
21.4364.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
LWDDLLDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Hearts
LWLWWWDDDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
7.10N=10
5.40
Against
2.90
10.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Morton attack

0.90goals per match
Hearts conceded0.80
Matchup

Hearts attack

1.40goals per match
Morton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
2.90
10.20
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.30
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.10
Match total
26.60

Shots

8.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.40
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.4%10.3%-4.2 pp
Draw20.6%17.9%-2.7 pp
Away64.9%71.8%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

0.822.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
0-115.4%
0-212.8%
2-27.7%
1-47.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.336.41
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%