2021-04-17 · 12:00
12.4737.4%
X3.0530.3%
22.8732.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arbroath
DLWDDWWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Ayr
WLLLDWDLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
5.50
8.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arbroath attack

1.10goals per match
Ayr conceded1.50
Matchup

Ayr attack

1.50goals per match
Arbroath conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.50
8.40
Match total
10.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.90
Match total
2.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.60
Match total
20.60

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.70
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches157
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%30.6%-6.9 pp
Draw30.3%38.2%+7.9 pp
Away32.2%31.2%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.516.6%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.071.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.7%
1-013.4%
0-09.6%
0-19.6%
0-27.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.68
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=157.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%19.5%–43.5% CI
Draw FT45.3%32.7%–58.5% CI
Away FT24.5%14.9%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.6%
Away43.4%