2021-04-09 · 19:45
11.1779.7%
X6.8913.5%
213.736.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hearts
WWWWLWDWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Alloa
LLWLLLDLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
2.30
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.60
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.00
Against
6.20
10.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
2.30
4.00
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hearts attack

2.70goals per match
Alloa conceded2.30
Matchup

Alloa attack

1.10goals per match
Hearts conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.20
10.60
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.60
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.20
Match total
25.40

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
6.20N=10
6.80
On target
3.30
16%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.7%86.1%+6.4 pp
Draw13.5%8.3%-5.2 pp
Away6.8%5.6%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.530.6%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.690.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
3-013.9%
2-013.9%
1-011.1%
1-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.223.08
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away54.5%