2020-03-07 · 15:00
12.1742.6%
X3.3727.4%
23.0830.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Morton
DWLWLLWDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Arbroath
LLWLLDLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
20%
90%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.10
Against
5.90
12.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Morton attack

1.80goals per match
Arbroath conceded1.30
Matchup

Arbroath attack

0.70goals per match
Morton conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.90
12.00
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.90
Match total
3.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
18.90
Match total
21.20

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
6.50N=10
4.10
On target
2.30
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%43.3%+0.8 pp
Draw27.4%23.3%-4.1 pp
Away30.0%33.3%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.381.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
1-110.0%
2-010.0%
0-09.2%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.174.22
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.6%29.3%–59.0% CI
Draw FT35.9%22.7%–51.6% CI
Away FT20.5%10.8%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals28.2%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away30.8%